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Milk Shortage Leaves Shelves Bare as Costs Climb

John MutanyiWednesday, 2 September 2026 at 09:37113 views

Shoppers across major towns are encountering an unexpected scarcity of fresh milk, with supermarket refrigerators displaying sparse stocks and a narrower range of familiar brands than usual.

Deliveries to retail outlets have slowed noticeably in recent weeks, forcing many stores to ration what little arrives and leaving some popular varieties completely absent from the cold shelves. The pinch is felt most sharply in densely populated neighbourhoods where daily demand remains steady, turning a routine purchase into a small daily frustration for households that rely on milk as a dietary staple.

Traders report that the reduced volumes reaching their shops have been accompanied by modest but consistent price increases of three to five shillings on a standard half-litre packet. One supermarket manager in Kawangware described the change in stark terms, noting that a brand which once sold eighty cartons a day now arrives in quantities of only ten to thirty. The same outlet has watched the cost of a leading pasteurised product rise from the low sixties into the mid-to-high sixties, while longer-life alternatives have also edged upward by several shillings. These adjustments, though small individually, accumulate quickly for families buying milk several times a week.

Behind the empty shelves lies a clear seasonal squeeze on production. Formal deliveries to processors dropped 3.7 per cent between June and July, falling from 84.4 million litres to 81.3 million litres, with early signs pointing to a further decline in August. Dry and cold conditions in the main producing zones have limited the growth of pasture and fodder, while the elevated cost of fuel has made it harder for farmers to conserve feed using diesel-powered equipment. Cooperative societies in areas such as Kericho are now collecting less than 60 per cent of their usual volumes, a shortfall that quickly ripples through the processing and distribution chain.

The Dairy Board of the country has characterised the shortage as temporary and largely seasonal, observing that pasteurised milk has been affected more severely than extended-shelf-life varieties. Processors and cooperative leaders echo the assessment, pointing to the combination of short rains and expensive fuel as the twin pressures currently constraining supply. While the situation has not yet reached crisis proportions, the visible strain on both volumes and prices underscores how sensitive the dairy sector remains to weather patterns and input costs.

As cooler and drier weather continues to influence production in key farming regions, the coming weeks will test how quickly supply can recover and whether retail prices stabilise once volumes improve. The episode serves as a quiet reminder of the delicate balance that sustains everyday essentials, leaving consumers, traders and producers alike watching the weather and the markets with heightened attention.

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